You often hear the phrase "words matter". The aim of this course is to
show you that numbers matter too; that, in fact there are many
situations in which the knowledge of a little math can make
all the
difference between loss and gain, life and death.
Overview of the course :
Topics covered :
Thinking Logically
Real world arguments rarely are clean and simple. To undestand them,
you need the ability to organize your thoughts through logic.
- What is a fallacy ? Look
at the Nizkor Project's explanation.
Are the conclusions we reach always based on logic ? What if we twist
the rules to get into situations ? Like Monty Python and the Holy
Grail ....
There are also fallacies that misuse numbers. Haven't you oftenwondered
what they mean when they say things like `Brand X is 20%
better than the regular brand ?' on T.V. ?
Percentages lend themselves to many fallacies - how comfortable would
you feel if your employer asked you to take a lie detector test ? Are
polygrahs accurate ?
Thinking Quantitatively
What do you do when you have to choose a credit card or buy a new
car ? To make those decisions you need to be able to think
quantitatively to decide what the best deal is.
What if an AT&T representative calls you and offers you $100
to
switch. This is a popular tactic the long distance companies are using
today.
Suppose your great-grandfather had borrowed $10 from a friend of his a
hundred years ago at an interest of 2% anually. What would you have to
pay this friend's great-grandchild to cancel your ancestor's debt ?
Often the decisions we make involve some uncertainity. Here's a site
on the web gives tests and allows you to evaluate your decisions :
Thinking Statistically
We are surrounded by statistical statements. Being able to understand
statistical terms and statements may be crucial under some
circumstatnces as Stephen Jay Gould shows in his article :
Ofcourse, according to Mark Twain there are lies, damned lies and
statistics. With the media throwing statistics at us, it's important
for us to separate fact from fiction supported by cooked-up numbers.
-
Untrue Facts is an article which looks at common statistical
statements made in the media.
To be able to understand what numbers represent, it is important to be
able to identify where potential sources of error may creep in. All
polls are based on some representative sample. What kind of errors
could occur here ?
Intimidated by statistics, people tend to readily accept distorted or
false statements. Indeed, sometimes, even people with statistical
backgrounds keep silent when confronted with a mass of figures and
numbers.
Links to other sources :
Sources of articles :
Games you can play :
Puzzles and Paradoxes :
Fun stuff :